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No exemptions = Lower tax?
Ever since the process of economic reforms began in 1991, those arguing for reforms in the structure of taxes in India have advocated doing almost entirely away with exemptions, while simultaneously moderating the tax rates. The trade-off between fewer exemptions and a lower tax rate has thus been clearly implied all along. But just how much lower could the tax rate be if we, for argument's sake, had no exemptions at all?
Till recently, it would have been near impossible for any layman to even get an approximation of the numbers involved in the trade-off. Last 's Union Budget document, however, has made it possible to do some backof-the-envelope calculations, which can give us a ball park figure, though by no means a precise one. To start with personal income tax, the Budget estimates that the amount of revenue foregone due to the various tax concessions was to the order of Rs 11,695 crore in 2004-05. The actual revenue collected from personal income tax in that year was Rs 49,259 crore. What this implies is that the government gave up about 23% of the revenues it would have been able to raise, had there been no concessions. The corollary to this would be that if the government in that year had done away with all exemptions and, at the same time, lowered all tax rates on personal incomes by about a fifth of what they were, it would have ended up with the same amount of revenue. This very rough calculation would suggest that we could have a marginal tax rate of 24% rather than 30%. By Unregistered Visitors, Section Finance & Taxes Posted on Sun Jan 14, 2007 at 02:09:01 AM EST
However, there is a catch. Of the Rs 11,695 crore foregone in 2004-05, Rs 2,121 crore were due to tax concessions specifically aimed at women and another Rs 1,446 crore on account of sops for senior citizens. If these are to be retained, the trade-off then involves only Rs 6,568 crore of foregone revenue, to compensate for gaining which the tax rates would need to be lowered only by about one-tenth. In other words, the rates would need to be changed from 10%, 20% and 30% to about 9%, 18% and 27%.
The reductions implied in the trade-off between exemptions and tax rates may seem rather modest for personal income tax, but it's quite a different picture when it comes to concessions given to corporates. The Budget estimates that the revenues foregone on this account were about Rs 57,852 crore in 2004-05. Considering that the actual revenue from corporate tax in that year was Rs 82,680 crore what that means is that the various sops lopped off about 41% of the government's potential revenues from this source. If there were no concessions, therefore, the government would have been able to lower corporate tax rates by about 40% of their current levels. In other words, a company that is today taxed at, say, 36% would need to be taxed only at about 21-22% if all exemptions from taxes on corporate profits were done away with. The problem with the trade-off in both cases, of course, is that those who gain from the lower tax rate are not necessarily the ones who were earlier benefiting the most from the concessions. This means that the change creates not just winners, but losers as well and is hence politically challenging. There is also the question of whether exemptions actually help to channelise investments and savings in particular directions considered socially desirable. If they do, eliminating them would amount to the government giving up the use of fiscal policy for these ends. By- TOI
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