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Home, Consumer Loans May Be Cheaper
With RBI's objective of keeping inflation close to 3 per cent in the medium term, interest rates are bound to come down. MV NAIR, CMD, Union Bank of India
The New Year is likely to bring some good news for borrowers as interest rates on home and consumer loans could decline from the second quarter onward, but high fuel and food prices could play spoilsport by putting pressure on inflation, feel bankers and economists. Experts feel that interest rates have peaked and with deposit rates on the decline, consumers could see softening of interest rates in 2008 as the prudent stand of the Reserve Bank for almost the whole of 2007 managed to keep inflation low without disrupting economic growth. "Our margins were a bit strained during the year but now banks have begun reducing deposit rates. With RBI's objective of keeping inflation close to 3 per cent in the medium term, interest rates are bound to come down," said M.V Nair, CMD, Union Bank . of India. Yes Bank managing director & CEO Rana Kapoor said: "We see no decline in interest rates in the next three months. The RBI is unlikely to reduce rates in January but there could be a reduction of half a per cent in the next fiscal starting April." Clik on "Full Story" for more... By Dr arvind, Section Finance & Taxes Posted on Wed Jan 02, 2008 at 03:13:25 AM EST
The Reserve Bank has raised key interest rates 6 times in the past year-and-a-half. It has also raised the mandatory cash deposits by 2.5 per cent since December 2006 to 7.5 per cent to tighten liquidity as it stepped up efforts to keep inflation within limits.
Banks also raised interest rates on home, vehicle and personal loans in line with these measures. At present, floating home loan interest rates range from 10-11.5 per cent, while fixed rates are 2-3 percentage points higher. Meera H. Sanyal, India chief of ABN Amro Bank, said there could be a small decline in rates. Inflation based on wholesale prices would remain within the RBI's comfort zone of below 5 per cent, she said. However, some others felt that inflation, which touched 3.45 per cent for the week ended December 15, could accelerate if the government allows state oil firms to raise prices of petrol, diesel, cooking gas and kerosene. "Consumers are unlikely to get any relief in the near future as there is little chance of interest rates coming down due to high inflationary expectations," HDFC Bank chief economist Abheek Barua said last week. Fuel and food prices remain key concerns, he said. Source: Hindustan Times, Dated, January-02-2008
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